Rough Week for Buccos

[Dan Wood]

This is very true, young guys are to be taken with a grain of salt, until they are proven they can be consistent. Beckham for example has had two very good half seasons, and one horrible one. At this point in time, what does that make him. The same goes for several guys on my team. Prime example is Brett Gardner. But then again, players that have shown a long term decline such as Travis Hafner, Lance Berkman, etc are thriving despite the fact that many people thought they were done.

The problem is, early in the year, when a guy goes on a cold streak it is more apparent in his stats because of the small sample size. But, I also think that skills eventually win out over the long haul. And you can't fight the law of averages either. Carl Crawford could play in the grand canyon and not hit .200 for the year. Hanley Ramirez will not hit under the mendoza line for the year. Ryan Roberts will not be more valuable than Dan Uggla. The Twins will not have the flu the entire season. Just things you can hang your hat on.

[Mr.TradeKing]

agreed. A lot of it has to do with it being the beginning of the season and every owner is borderline "over" active (if that is possible haha). This leads them blowing a lot of things out of proportion simply because the are analyzing every little aspect because they have waited the whole off-season.

~MTK

[Canada8999]

This is very true, young guys are to be taken with a grain of salt, until they are proven they can be consistent. Beckham for example has had two very good half seasons, and one horrible one. At this point in time, what does that make him. The same goes for several guys on my team. Prime example is Brett Gardner. But then again, players that have shown a long term decline such as Travis Hafner, Lance Berkman, etc are thriving despite the fact that many people thought they were done.

The problem is, early in the year, when a guy goes on a cold streak it is more apparent in his stats because of the small sample size. But, I also think that skills eventually win out over the long haul. And you can't fight the law of averages either. Carl Crawford could play in the grand canyon and not hit .200 for the year. Hanley Ramirez will not hit under the mendoza line for the year. Ryan Roberts will not be more valuable than Dan Uggla. The Twins will not have the flu the entire season. Just things you can hang your hat on.

I think the 'long-term decline' for Berkman is a bit premature... Take another look at his stats - throw out last year and he's a perennial 900+ OPS guy.  One bad (injured) season for an aging guy sure, but not a long-term decline just yet (and he looks pretty healthy right now).