After last nights deep double boning by the Ducks and Panthers with each having a player (Brock Nelson and OEL) score 4 points. I got to thinking what are the chances?
There has been 23,075 man games played so far this season.
Out of those games 1,893 have been multi-point games.
You can reasonably predict who is going to have more multi-point games than someone else. Better players have more multi-point games than crap players, but what is difficult is picking who might have a 4 point game. Patrick Kane has just a slightly better chance to get 4 points in a game as nearly anyone else who has had a handful of multiple multi-point games. It is a fluke, an accident.
4 point games occur about 1.5% of the time within multi-point games or about 30 odd times this year
So we pull that back to the NHL as a whole and it has a chance of happening at 1.3 in a 1000 chance for a player on a given night. I had 2 do it to me on the same night, which has the probability of 1.69 in a 1,000,000 chance of happening. Basically 1 in a million! Probably should play the Powerball with that kind of luck.