Author Topic: 5th Down: Week 16  (Read 342 times)

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Offline Billy

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5th Down: Week 16
« on: December 20, 2012, 03:50:39 PM »
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The 5th Down Blog is designed to help you, the fantasy owner, on whom to start, sit, and who we pick as a sleeper for the week. Each week, we will take turns doing a position for the week. Feedback is always welcome as we love to discuss football!


Which Jets QB is not featured here? | Image Courtesy of USA Today

Check out past postings of the 5th Down for each week:
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15

Quarterback - Billy

Must Start: Tom Brady :NE: vs :JAC:
Brady will look to rebound after throwing 2 INTs last week against :SFO: and what better team to rebound against than a horrible Jaguars defense. Brady will have a field day against their defense throwing for at least 250 yards and 2 TDs.

Must Sit: Russell Wilson :SEA-NFL: vs :SFO:
Wilson has been impressive thus far but will hit a wall known as the 49ers defense this weekend. The 49ers don't give up a lot of yards to opposing offenses and that should continue this weekend.

Sleeper: Greg McElroy :NYJ: vs :SDG:
McElroy gets the nod this week over Mark Sanchez against an underachieving Chargers team. He won't light it up but could still have a solid game against San Diego

Running Back - JMAC

Must Start: Adrian Peterson :MIN-NFL: vs :HOU-NFL:
IS there any doubt that he is THE must start player period at this stage. Chip on his shoulder and going for the record. Over 1300 yards in his last 8 games, enough said. He will do what he does, period!!!!
Other Must Starts- Alfred Morris, WAS vs PHI, CJ Spiller, BUF vs MIA

Must Sit: Chris Johnson :TEN: vs :GB:
I know he looked to have a good game last week but that one 94 yd td run was all he did, other than that he was limited to less than 2 ypc. Look for GB to shut him down and keep on rolling.
Other Must Sits- Trent Richardson, CLE vs DEN, Beanie Wells, AZ vs CHI

Sleeper: Vick Ballard :IND: vs :KAN:
Had his first 100 yard game last week and this is a clinching playoff berth game for IND, so look for them to put up a solid game plan with Ballard getting his work in vs a suspect KC def.

Wide Receivers - Mike

Must Start: Dez Bryant :DAL: vs :NO:
88 has been living up to the hype as of late, has he finally figured it all out? Who knows, but he's fighting through injury, and making the big catches, the Boys are starting to click.

Must Sit: Michael Crabtree :SFO: vs :SEA-NFL:
On the Crabtree bandwagon after his big game in Boston? Well jump now, he does nothing against the Seahawks and their big physical corners.

Sleeper: Jeremy Kerley :NYJ: vs :SDG:
So the Jets finally decide to let the sound, yet vanilla McElroy play ball, it's going to be a good thing for the Jets pass catchers, even Braylon Edwards might make an appearance.

Tight Ends - Eric

Must Start: Tony Gonzalez :ATL-NFL: vs :DET-NFL:
This year has been much nicer to Gonzalez owners with 8 TD's and almost 900 yds. This week shouldn't be any different. The Lions have allowed 6 TD's over the past 8 weeks. Feel free to deploy Gonzo as you normally would.

Must Sit: Jermaine Gresham :CIN-NFL: vs :PIT-NFL:
While Gresham has been a solid option over the past few weeks, this week he has a tough matchup. The Steelers have been really good against opposing TE in allowing the 3rd least fantasy points. They have allowed 5 TD all year and allowed over 70 yds in just ONE week (last week vs Dallas). Look else where if possible.

Sleeper: Kyle Rudolph :MIN-NFL: vs :HOU-NFL:
Although Rudolph has been relatively quiet over the past few week, this he week he has a good matchup. The Texans give up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing TE's. 5 TD's over as many week and over 50 yds rec in 4 of those 5 weeks. Rudolph can guide you through a foggy Christmas Eve.

Defense - Billy

Must Start: Chicago :CHI: vs :ARI:
The Bears defense has fallen off as of late, but they should be able to rebound against a horrible Cardinals offense.

Must Sit: Seattle :SEA-NFL: vs :SFO:
The Seattle defense has been dominant this year, but that probably will not continue this week against the 49ers. San Fran's offense has been playing well lately and even the Seattle defense probably won't stop that.

Sleeper: Washington :WAS-NFL: vs :PHI-NFL:
Washington's defense has played better as of late (mainly in the 2nd half) but they will be going up against an Eagles offense that has made any defense look great lately. Last time these 2 played, the Skins defense held the Philly offense to only 6 points, 257 yards, and forced three turnovers.
« Last Edit: December 27, 2012, 08:16:38 PM by ProFSL »
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  • Dan Wood: I would build them like the old cleveland teams... bats at every spot and pitching that is just good enough
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    Today at 08:34:15 PM
  • Scalious: Yeah.. I was think something a little more creative..but that would do the trick too..
    Today at 08:34:37 PM
  • redbeard82: the margaritas at happy hour may have gotten the best of my judgment
    Today at 08:35:02 PM
  • Brent: 3 CFers (like the Pirates) to make the park smaller, but they all need to be able to hit as well, gap power 20HR guys with speed will work just fine.  A pitching staff that doesn't give up HRs, so guys with low HR/9 numbers, high GB rates and low GB rates.  Guys that have a high K/BB ratio, don't walk a lot.  A solo shot doesn't hurt as bad as a 2 run or more HR.  Big boppers at 1B and 3B, got to have some power in the lineup.  Great D up the middle, preferably guys that also can get on base and make things happen.    They have always went offense and it never seems to work, I'd consider going more speed and D, with higher BAs and solid power from most, but great power from a few positions.
    Today at 08:35:09 PM
  • Brent: Hoffman has had a less than 1 HR/9 since he has been back, I bet that played into them getting him.
    Today at 08:35:39 PM
  • Brent: typo, I meant High GB rate and low FB rate.
    Today at 08:36:09 PM
  • redbeard82: i actually think Castro is a much better fit for Coors than Hoffman
    Today at 08:36:52 PM
  • Brent: They need to treat it as their house, make it house rules and force everyone to come beat them in their house.  Teams are going to want to take advantage of the HR, but if they can't hit them then it's the Rockies advantage.
    Today at 08:37:07 PM
  • Dan Wood: the problem with that is that sometimes those low GB rates don't translate to coors
    Today at 08:37:17 PM
  • Dan Wood: Mike hampton being a prime example
    Today at 08:37:36 PM
  • Scalious: Brent I like that thinking. However I'd build the pitching staff in reverse.. Build and acquire elite RP arms.. Build up the depth of hifh upside RP. Then tell every SP the max batters they face will be 18. Never go 3rd time thru the order.
    Today at 08:37:37 PM
  • redbeard82: Hoffman's fastball is too straight and that big curve is his out pitch...CB pitchers have always struggled at Coors
    Today at 08:37:43 PM
  • Brent: From some stuff I have read Hoffman is changing some stuff, so he might even up being a different type pitcher than he was projected to be before surgery.
    Today at 08:37:58 PM
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    Today at 08:38:11 PM
  • Dan Wood: if stye could manage 5 jorge de la rosa types, I think they would be fine... guys that don't lose the game for you
    Today at 08:38:20 PM
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    Today at 08:38:22 PM
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  • Brent: Is his FB still straight or was that before surgery?  I read where he is working on his CU and a cutter.
    Today at 08:38:35 PM
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    Today at 08:39:04 PM
  • redbeard82: Toronto was definitely focusing him on specific things, but that CB is what could make him great...to give it up would be silly
    Today at 08:39:13 PM
  • Brent: An extra RP would be nice as well, b/c when your starter gets tired, he's more likely to give up hits/HRs.
    Today at 08:39:29 PM
  • redbeard82: I think it was Keith Law who said it was still straight in his write up of the trade. I haven't watched his MILB starts to verify though
    Today at 08:39:46 PM
  • redbeard82: true. every team should get a 26th man for Coors
    Today at 08:39:58 PM
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    Today at 08:40:12 PM
  • Brent: Yeah, he was doing something with his CB which was changing it from a 65-70 pitch to a 55 pitch.
    Today at 08:40:32 PM
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    Today at 08:41:01 PM
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  • Scalious: I think it could work..if you build off strong/deep bullpen insted of trying to find SP that can handle coors.. Cuz that is just way more difficult. Never let a SP go 3rd time thru lineup.. Ever. You keep the arms fresh.. Bank on your offense to bleed away and comeback at times it needs too..
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