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Messages - Jss0062

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2411
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Archives / Re: Need New Scoring System
« on: October 11, 2013, 07:51:30 PM »
I think Assists should be worth slightly more than putouts as catching a ball compared with catching at throwing multiplies the chance of error by double.

Or maybe we normalize the assists like you have shown and then lessen the putouts by a certain percentage?

Nice work!

I view them as equal.  A good defensive first baseman saves a lot of errors from the other infielders with his ability to make difficult picks, in those cases the putout is often the more difficult part of that play, same goes for catchers who are above average at catching foul tip 3rd strikes.  This goes for outfielders too, the guys who get better reads on balls and have better speed catch more balls than those who don't thus giving them more putouts and less chance of throwing out someone trying to stretch a single into a double.  Most above average fielders will get to more balls thus giving them more chances for either putouts or assists. 

2412
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Archives / Re: Need New Scoring System
« on: October 11, 2013, 07:11:43 PM »
Here are my recommendations to make assists and putouts equal and to normalize for position.

First to equalize assists to putouts you would need to multiply .2 by 2.67 this gives you .534.
 
Theoretically every position would get 11.1% of the chances, to normalize this to position you divide 11.1 by the assist and putout percentage.   When you do this you get with the pitchers as an example the assist ratio is 1.00 and putout ratio is 5.54 (numbers are rounded to 2 decimal points for final numbers only). The next step is to multiply the ratio to the points per, again for pitchers this would give you .53 points per assist and 1.11 per putout.   To check you multiply the points per by the total and you come up with an equal amount of points available for all positions for both assists and putouts.

So here goes.   PPA = Points per assist      PPP = Points per putout

Position             PPA               PPP

Pitcher              .531              1.109
Catcher           1.124             0.086
First Base        0.903             0.070
Second Base   0.210             0.316
Third Base       0.316             0.890
Shortstop        0.209             0.405
Left Field        10.463            0.317
Center Field   12.306            0.235
Right Field       9.500             0.299












 

2413
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Archives / Re: Need New Scoring System
« on: October 11, 2013, 06:27:31 PM »
Here are the raw numbers of putouts and assists for seasons 2009-2013.
I couldn't find by position stats for the other five years, 5 seasons does give a solid sample size.
Recommendations will follow in a separate post.

There were 2.67 times as many putouts as assists

Position     Assists %    Putout %

Pitcher        11.2%          2.0%
Catcher        5.3%         25.8%
First             6.6%         31.8%
Second       28.2%         7.0%
Third           18.8%         2.5%
Short          28.3%         5.5%
Left             0.6%           7.0%
Center        0.5%           9.4%
Right           0.6%           7.4%


2414
50% or more of responses


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2415
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Archives / Need New Scoring System
« on: October 11, 2013, 02:25:12 PM »
Later today I am planning on doing a 10 year statistical analysis of where putouts and assists come from and normalizing to position. I will post results here


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2416
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Completed Transactions / Phillies ARB Numbers
« on: October 11, 2013, 12:53:29 PM »
I'm not sure how I messed that one up.  I will give him one more chance at that price.


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2417
Phillies claim

Nick Fleece
Angel Nesbitt
Jerad Eickhoff
Tim Shibuya


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2418
Uh....you already voiced your opinion on this one.  Boston didn't even like the trade after he dug further into it.  Let it go. I approved your trade by the way.


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2419
Armchair Fantasy Baseball: Completed Transactions / Phillies ARB Numbers
« on: October 10, 2013, 09:59:03 PM »
Antonio Bastardo $1.4 million
David Herndon $495,000
Kyle Kendrick $495,000
Michael Stutes $495,000
Freddy Galvis $490,000
John Mayberry $517,000
Justin De Fratus $500,00
Jake Odorizzi $480,000
J.C. Ramirez $490,000
Michael McKenry $505,000
Cesar Hernandez $490,000
Carlos Rivero $490,000
Oscar Tejeda $490,000

2420
Phillies claim Jose Marrujo

to SS A if claim is won.

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